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Lusk Perspectives

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Real Conversations, Real Estate

During a time of great uncertainty and rapid change, connection and information is a more important resource than ever before. Today's issues could be amplified or altered in a matter of days or hours, so it is vital that organizations and thought leaders frequently share knowledge, dispel rumors, and offer insight.

Hosted by Professor and Lusk Center Director Richard K. Green, Lusk Perspectives offers timely analysis and shares accurate data vetted by leading experts on the latest developments and observations concerning policy, real estate, urban economics and more.

Once interviews are conducted, resources and videos will be made available here and on podcast channels as soon as possible.

 

Latest Perspectives

US Foreign Policy

May 16, 2024
Jerrold D. Green photo
Jerrold D. Green | Research Professor, USC Annenberg, and President & CEO, Pacific Council on International Policy

Jerrold D. Green (USC Annenberg, Pacific Council on International Policy) joins Richard K. Green (USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) to discuss a short list of global hotspots from a United States perspective.

Green delivers insights and offers detailed context on Israel-Gaza, China, Mexico, Ukraine-Russia, and the unique position the US holds within the global economy and international relations.

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2024 Or Bust: The Economy, The Fed, And Fiscal Policy

March 7, 2024
Claudia Sahm photo
Claudia Sahm | Founder, Sahm Consulting

How will the US economy perform in 2024? 

Claudia Sahm (Sahm Consulting) joins Richard K. Green (USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) to discuss the US economy’s recovery from COVID alongside additional shocks and infer the implications of the Federal Reserve’s playbook for 2024. 

Sahm’s key points:

  • The US economy undeniably turned a corner in 2023
  • The US recovery remains stronger than its peer countries
  • The Federal Reserve will continue its conservative approach to rate cuts
  • The greatest risk to the market in the near future is the Federal Reserve’s sluggish response

Sahm also fields questions on the risk that commercial real estate and regional bank distress poses to the economy, the Federal Reserve’s limits on impacting housing affordability, and more.

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U.S.-China Relations

February 14, 2023
Clayton Dube photo
Clayton Dube | Director, USC U.S.-China Institute

Clayton Dube (USC U.S.-China Institute) joins Richard K. Green (USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) to discuss the condition of U.S.-China relations and the latest developments in China’s global influence on trade, supply chain issues, technology, and more. Dube highlights a challenge Chinese officials are watching closely in the coming years: stalling economic growth. To approach the “middle-income” problem, Dube notes the ways in which the government has both relaxed and tightened its grip on markets in an effort to continue the economy’s upward momentum.

Included in the discussion:

  • Security concerns between the U.S. and China
  • The important distinction between China’s total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and GDP per capita
  • How China’s tech rivalry with the U.S. is evolving
  • Why Chinese firms have overpaid in key U.S. real estate transactions

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2023 Global Economic and Market Outlook

December 13, 2022
Headshot: Joyce Chang
Joyce Chang | Managing Director & Chair of Global Research, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Joyce Chang delivers an overview of global economic trends to watch heading into 2023 and beyond.

In the near term, Chang sees a mild recession taking effect in late 2023, with a true “soft landing”, as identified by the Federal Reserve, being unlikely. She notes that overall cycles may be shorter, with a likelihood of 4-year recessions rather than the historic 8 or 10, and markets that rally faster to regain losses.

Included in the long-term outlook are remarks on China’s slowing growth, regions that could benefit from supply chain shifts away from China and nearshoring, and the political divides in the US around ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) projects and investing.

Richard K. Green also fields questions on the US housing crisis, how rapidly rising interest rates could affect regional banks and nontraditional finance, the implications of a global aging population, and more.

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2022 Casden Multifamily Forecast Report

November 10, 2022
Richard K. Green
Richard K. Green | Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate

Lusk Director Richard K. Green delivers highlights from the 2022 Casden Multifamily Forecast Report. 

Before Green gives a breakdown of Southern California multifamily real estate markets, he pauses to discuss four uncertainties impacting the region. Inflation, interest rates, net migration, and the impending recession are all top-of-mind issues that could dilute the forecast’s potency should any of the factors take a dramatic rise or dip.

As for the forecast, Green reviews historical and forecasted data on each market, including overall economic resiliency, net migration since the pandemic began, construction activity, vacancy rates, rent growth, and more. Regions covered include Los Angeles, Orange County, San Diego, the Inland Empire, and Ventura.

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